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The average
American has benefited greatly from a strong manufacturing
environment over the last century and the US standard of living
has been greatly enhanced over the last couple decades by low cost goods, especially those produced
with much cheaper foreign labor. However, as will be
explained below, the issue is much more complicated and the
demise of American manufacturing will be a major long-term
detriment to the future standard of living in the US.
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Manufacturing
Losses.
The loss of manufacturing in the US is general knowledge.
Those that support manufacturing chasing low labor costs
around the world would argue that the American economy is
becoming more of a "knowledge" economy. This loss has
accounted for millions lost American jobs paying
substantially more than the average US wage. At first,
several years ago, I kind of agreed with this theory but
lately I'm having second thoughts.
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Engineering
Losses. As manufacturing is shipped overseas, so is
engineering. First the engineering required at the
manufacturing plant and second, the engineering required in
the ivory tower. On-site manufacturing went first and
now American company subsidiaries overseas and independent
contractors are doing an increasing amount of the
non-factory engineering especially in the Far East. I
just read about the $5 billion expansion of the Panama
Canal. I didn't see a single major American
engineering company involved in the project. Didn't
American engineering firms originally build that canal!
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Design Losses.
Some would ague that the design of the products would remain
in the US. That was true for several decades but as
more and more high tech engineering has been transferred
to the Far East, so has design. Apple's Mac computer is a
great computer but Acer of Taiwan sells a lot more
computers. The Apple I-Phone is a great cellular phone but
HTC of Korea sells a lot more advanced cell phones. Just
imagine all of the high paying design jobs that are being
lost and will never return.
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Market Losses.
Some believe that the US is the center of technology and
automotive market demand and therefore can dictate the
future of these industries. As above, this has also
been true for decades, but as the economies of faster
growing, increasingly affluent countries in the Far East
come out of recession, more a more products will be
designed, engineered, and manufactured in and for those
markets. In reality, those persons manufacturing,
engineering, and designing the products of the future will
be more able to afford those products.
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Economic
Losses.
Finally, all of the above causes of job loss will contribute
to higher unemployment and the need for the Federal
Government to continue to increase entitlements including
unemployment, food stamps, education, and job retraining
assistance which will continue to increase the US federal
debt. Yes, I think that cutting spending is the secret
to success but this isn't going to happen no matter how much
you wish it would happen. Sorry, but look at history.
In the past, many recessions were resolved with an improving
economy but it may not happen for a long time. The
only solution is to increase taxes and this will further
handicap the economy. Of course, raising corporate and
personal income taxes will have a devastating effect of the
economy.
To add insult to
injury, much of the legal immigration and undocumented
immigration today is for US manufacturing jobs that no long
exist and may never return after the current recession.
California seems to be more affected by the loss of
manufacturing than the rest of the US and all that it
entails. Gee, look at the current high employment rate.
You might as
well stop believing that California will once again become a
manufacturing powerbase. If we get a handle on our
water shortage and encourage the planting of lower water
consumption, higher value crops, we stand a chance in the
world agriculture economy. With our wonderful weather,
we are becoming a great state in which to retire, especially
if you can afford it. Of course, with the lost of
manufacturing, there will be ample cheap labor to cut our
lawns and clean our houses. That's a kind of
manufacturing, isn't it!
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